TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$12,239

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,180
N/A
N/A
$3,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,460
N/A
N/A
$3,378
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,974
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,544
N/A
N/A
$1,491
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$459
N/A
N/A
$459
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on August 11, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 75°F or below, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, or above 83°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may be referenced for guidance, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports from different cities may update at varying frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Miami, FL Daily Climate Report.