TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The minimum temperature in Los Angeles on June 7, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service and categorized within a specified range.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 7, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting expected minimum temperatures for that date. Traders buy and sell shares based on their belief about whether the actual low will fall within specified temperature bands. Kalshi's pricing mechanism converts trader conviction into real-time odds, with prices rising as more capital flows toward outcomes deemed more likely. Market depth and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust to new weather information or seasonal climate patterns.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 7, 2026 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from recognized weather stations or meteorological authorities serving the Los Angeles area. The exact lowest reading during the specified 24-hour period determines which outcome or temperature range wins, settling all open positions on Kalshi.
Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 7, 2026. Long-range weather forecasts updated closer to the date will influence trader positioning, particularly if models show unusual heat or cooling patterns. Seasonal climate anomalies, ocean temperature trends, and atmospheric pressure systems developing in the weeks before June could alter expectations. Historical temperature records for that date and any emerging climate events in late May or early June may prompt traders to reprice their positions on Kalshi.