Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 5, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on June 5, 2026. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different temperature thresholds or outcomes. The market price directly implies the probability of each outcome; higher prices indicate higher perceived likelihood. Kalshi's order book and spread between bid and ask prices determine liquidity and execution costs for traders entering or exiting positions on this specific weather event.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on June 5, 2026, as reported by the relevant meteorological authority. The exact temperature measurement and data source used to settle the contract are specified in the market's terms. Once the date passes and the official low temperature is confirmed, the market automatically settles based on which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded temperature falls into.

Several factors could shift market pricing for this event. Updated seasonal climate forecasts and long-range weather models released closer to June 2026 may indicate cooler or warmer conditions. El Niño or La Niña patterns, ocean temperature anomalies, and atmospheric circulation changes influence early-summer temperatures in Southern California. Major volcanic eruptions or solar activity shifts could affect global climate. As June 5, 2026 approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable, typically causing sharper price movements. Historical June temperature records and emerging climate trends will also influence trader positioning.