Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Jun 1, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 1, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds or bands, with prices reflecting the probability of each outcome occurring. The market price of each contract directly represents the crowd's belief in that temperature range materializing. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, or atmospheric models emerge, prices adjust dynamically to reflect updated expectations for the overnight low on that date.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 1, 2026, typically sourced from a designated weather station or meteorological authority. The exact temperature reading on that date will be compared against the contract's outcome criteria to settle all positions. Traders holding shares in the outcome that matches the recorded low will receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless or are settled according to their specified ranges.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on June 1, 2026. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in the jet stream or development of high or low pressure systems, will influence market pricing. Updated seasonal forecasts, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and long-range climate models may alter trader expectations. As June 1 approaches, short-range meteorological forecasts become more reliable and typically drive sharper price movements. Additionally, any unusual atmospheric events or anomalies in late May could signal cooler or warmer conditions for the target date.