TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$23,566

67° to 68°

 - Kalshi

67° to 68° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

67° to 68°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,802
N/A
N/A
$5,578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,220
N/A
N/A
$3,678
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,639
N/A
N/A
$1,017
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,197
N/A
N/A
$624
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the official minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles Airport on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in whole-degree increments—the official reading falls into, with specific boundaries for each market (e.g., 60°F or below, 61°F to 62°F, etc.). Traders must rely solely on the NWS report linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not considered authoritative. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process may affect market resolutions, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.