TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$24,705

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,769
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° or above

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,144
N/A
N/A
$2,775
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,491
N/A
N/A
$3,147
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,773
N/A
N/A
$2,716
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or below

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,339
N/A
N/A
$3,161
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,189
N/A
N/A
$2,073
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service for that day. Participants assess historical trends and forecasts to predict the night's coldest point.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Las Vegas on August 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 76°F or below, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, or 85°F and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines the resolving market. Participants must reference the official NWS data through the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'Las Vegas, NV' with the Daily Climate Report. The latest available report for the date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across locations. While third-party weather services may offer guidance, they are not authoritative—only the NWS report decides outcomes. Traders should remain alert to potential rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, exercising caution when interpreting early reports.