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Lowest temperature in Houston on Jun 1, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Houston on Jun 1, 2026?

Volume:
$0

69° or below

 - Kalshi

69° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Will the minimum temperature be <70° on Jun 1, 2026?

Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° or below

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

70° to 71°

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

72° to 73°

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

74° to 75°

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

76° to 77°

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

78° or above

Trade
N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

The overnight low temperature in Houston on June 1, 2026 will be recorded by the National Weather Service and categorized into temperature bands to assess weather conditions for that day.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money consensus from traders and differ from traditional weather analyst forecasts. While meteorologists issue point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric models, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information and financial incentives into probabilistic outcomes. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more or less risk than official forecasts suggest. Analyst predictions tend to focus on expected conditions, whereas markets often reflect tail risks and uncertainty that traders believe are underpriced or overpriced, making side-by-side comparison valuable for understanding different perspectives on June 1 temperatures in Houston.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Houston on June 1, 2026 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and climate signals emerge, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The market resolves based on the actual recorded low temperature on that date, with payouts determined by which contract outcome matches the official reading.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the close of trading and once the official lowest temperature for Houston on June 1, 2026 is recorded. The outcome is determined by the actual minimum temperature observed that day, typically sourced from a recognized meteorological authority or weather station serving the Houston area. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed to confirm the final reading and rule out any data corrections. Traders' positions settle based on whether their chosen outcome matches the official recorded low temperature.

Several factors could shift market odds for Houston's June 1 low temperature. Long-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate patterns updated by meteorological agencies will influence trader expectations as the date approaches. El Niño or La Niña conditions, ocean temperature anomalies, and upper-atmosphere circulation patterns affect early-summer temperatures in Texas. Major weather events or heat waves in late May could signal hotter conditions ahead. Additionally, historical temperature data, urban heat island effects, and any unusual atmospheric blocking patterns will be priced in by traders. As June 1 draws closer, medium-range forecasts become more reliable and will likely drive significant trading activity and price adjustments.