TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$26,316

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,262
N/A
N/A
$7,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,907
N/A
N/A
$6,108
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,484
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,357
N/A
N/A
$871
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading from the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on August 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago - Midway, IL. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, or 70°F and above. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, caution is advised when interpreting early reports. The final report, released after the date in question, will serve as the binding authority for resolution.