TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$32,522

78° or above

 - Kalshi

78° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,364
N/A
N/A
$7,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,165
N/A
N/A
$4,531
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,801
N/A
N/A
$3,226
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,696
N/A
N/A
$3,442
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,296
N/A
N/A
$2,631
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,200
N/A
N/A
$2,860
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to predict the night's coldest point.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69°F or below, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, or 78°F and above. The resolving authority will access the latest official data from the NWS website, following the provided navigation path to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. Traders must recognize that preliminary readings may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final official report determines outcomes. Secondary disclaimers emphasize that while third-party weather services may offer guidance, they do not override the NWS data as the definitive source for resolution.