TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Vitality Rising Bees and G2 HEL in the LGC Rising Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality Rising Bees" if Vitality Rising Bees win the match against G2 HEL. This market will resolve to "G2 HEL" if G2 HEL win the match against Vitality Rising Bees. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Vitality Rising Bees and G2 HEL in the LGC Rising Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality Rising Bees" if Vitality Rising Bees win the match against G2 HEL. This market will resolve to "G2 HEL" if G2 HEL win the match against Vitality Rising Bees. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds often differ from initial analyst forecasts, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. While analysts may offer pre-event predictions based on team statistics and player performance, this market incorporates real-time information and evolving sentiment. If initial analyst predictions favor one team, the odds on Predict may adjust as traders weigh different factors, such as in-game strategies or unexpected player form. It’s common to see the market odds converge towards a more accurate probability as the event approaches and more information becomes available, potentially diverging from the initial expert opinions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each possible result of the Vitality Rising Bees versus G2 HEL match. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders become less confident in an outcome, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the best-of-five series between Vitality Rising Bees and G2 HEL in the LGC Rising Playoffs. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for determining the winning contract in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Vitality Rising Bees or G2 HEL would likely impact the odds. Major announcements about in-game strategies or team practice performance could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the LGC Rising Playoffs could influence perceptions of team strength and form. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or analyst predictions, even if not directly tied to concrete events, could also contribute to price movements in this market.