TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:00 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on team rankings and historical performance, this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders, potentially incorporating factors not easily quantifiable by analysts. Discrepancies can arise from unique insights, late-breaking news about player form, or simply differing interpretations of available data. It’s common to see the market adjust rapidly to new information, sometimes diverging significantly from pre-event predictions made by experts.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of FlyQuest versus Shopify Rebellion. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers push the price up, indicating higher confidence in that outcome, while more sellers drive it down. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, creating a dynamic and real-time probability assessment of the series winner.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the best-of-five series between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs. The team declared the winner by the official league organizers will determine the settlement of this market. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team rosters would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategic changes or in-game adjustments could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, the performance of FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in other recent matches, or even practice scrims that become public knowledge, could affect confidence levels and trading volume. Finally, general sentiment shifts within the League of Legends community could also contribute to price movements in this market.