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2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

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ISM Services PMI - September 2026
polymarket

What will ISM Services PMI be?

Volume:
$24,525

54.0 to 54.9

 - Polymarket

54.0 to 54.9 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

54.0 to 54.9

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

57.0 to 57.9

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

53.0 to 53.9

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<51.0

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

56.0 to 56.9

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55.0 to 55.9

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

52.0 to 52.9

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

59.0+

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

51.0 to 51.9

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

58.0 to 58.9

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Polymarket

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the ISM Services PMI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reading. The 24-hour volume indicates how much activity this market has seen recently, while the price history provides a view of how expectations have shifted over time. Currently, the volume is $4,189 and the total volume is $24,525.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects expectations about the health of the service sector. It's interesting to compare these predictions to those from traditional economic forecasts and analyst polls. For example, if analysts broadly predict a PMI reading within a certain range, does this market price in a higher or lower probability of that outcome occurring? Examining the difference can reveal whether traders believe analysts are overly optimistic or pessimistic about the September 2026 ISM Services PMI data release.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official ISM Services PMI data for September 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, published value of the ISM Services PMI, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased shares align with the actual PMI reading. It's important to monitor economic indicators and news leading up to this date, as they may influence the market's price.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Key economic data releases, such as employment figures, inflation reports, and other PMI indices, could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve could also play a role. Any news that suggests a strengthening or weakening of the service sector is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their expectations for the September 2026 ISM Services PMI reading. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.