TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of the cryptocurrency HYPE on a specific date and time, using a standardized benchmark for accuracy. The outcome depends on where the price falls within a range of predefined brackets at the exact moment of evaluation.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on Oct 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market associated with the range that contains this average price resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' Price data is sourced exclusively from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), with the official value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency and eliminates discrepancies from using alternative price sources such as exchanges or aggregators.
Prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the likelihood of different outcomes, and in this case, the price of HYPE. These expectations can differ from those reflected in traditional spot price forecasts from analysts or polls. Spot price expectations often rely on modeling and assumptions, while this market directly reflects what people are willing to bet on the actual price. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, risk tolerance, or interpretations of future events influencing HYPE’s value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different price ranges for HYPE. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the likely HYPE price on October 30, 2026. This creates a real-time estimate of probabilities based on actual monetary stakes.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the HYPE price at 5pm EDT on October 30, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The contract corresponding to the price range containing the actual HYPE price at that time will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will pay out $0.00. Traders should monitor relevant news and data sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential price-influencing events.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the cryptocurrency space, regulatory announcements impacting HYPE specifically, or shifts in broader market sentiment towards crypto assets could all influence trading activity. News regarding the HYPE project’s development, partnerships, or adoption rate would also be key catalysts. Unexpected macroeconomic events or changes in global financial conditions could also indirectly affect the price of HYPE and, consequently, the trading volume and price within this market.