TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:21h:28m
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This market tracks the price of the cryptocurrency HYPE at a specific moment, using a precise measurement method to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on whether the price falls within certain dollar ranges at the exact closing time, providing a clear and objective benchmark for participants.
The market resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EST on November 6, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, from $66.9999 or below up to $115 or above. The official price is determined by collecting 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that while common sources like Google or Coinbase may offer guidance, the definitive value comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' RTI methodology. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring a single resolution based on where the calculated average falls within the defined brackets.
Comparing the odds in this market to spot price expectations from analysts and polls reveals how predictive wisdom differs from expert forecasts. Currently, this market reflects a collective prediction about the HYPE price on a specific date. Traditional forecasts often rely on modeling and expert opinion, while this market aggregates the insights of many individuals, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate view. Discrepancies between this market and external expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors influencing the HYPE price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different price levels for HYPE. The current price reflects the point at which buyers and sellers agree, indicating the market's consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast as the resolution date approaches, offering a real-time assessment of the HYPE price.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the HYPE price at 5pm EST on November 6, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by a publicly available and trusted source for the HYPE price at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual price at the designated moment. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified price.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding the HYPE project, such as partnerships, technological breakthroughs, or regulatory changes, could all impact the perceived value. Broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, including shifts in investor sentiment or macroeconomic conditions, are also likely to influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in competing projects or negative press coverage could also lead to price fluctuations, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information.