TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific cryptocurrency, HYPE, by checking if its price exceeds various thresholds at a set time. The outcome depends on the average price during the final minute before the specified deadline, providing a clear, time-bound measure of market valuation.
The event evaluates whether the simple average of the sixty-second Real Time Index (RTI) prices for HYPEUSD from CF Benchmarks, measured in the minute before 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, exceeds each specified threshold. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the average price surpasses its respective threshold (e.g., $52.9999, $53.9999, etc.). The official price is determined by averaging 60 RTI data points collected in the final minute before expiration. Participants should note that CF Benchmarks' RTI is the definitive source, and prices from other platforms like Google or Coinbase may differ.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations, as they represent the collective wisdom of informed traders. These traders weigh various factors, including fundamental analysis, technical indicators, and potential news events, to arrive at their forecasts. This market, in particular, allows participants to express their beliefs about the future price of HYPE, potentially differing from analyst consensus or current market sentiment. The aggregated predictions within this market can offer a unique signal about the likelihood of different price outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the HYPE price on the specified date. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' or 'sell' side, effectively making a prediction about whether the actual price will be above or below the current market price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of HYPE as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at 5:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive a payout based on the contract terms. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding the HYPE project, such as partnerships, technological advancements, or regulatory changes, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, including overall investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions, could also play a role. Unexpected security breaches or significant shifts in the competitive landscape for HYPE could also move the market. Keep an eye on official announcements from the HYPE team and developments within the wider crypto space to understand potential catalysts.