TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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HYPE price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

HYPE price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$5,084

$63 or above

 - Kalshi

$63 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$63 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$53 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$50 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$75 or above

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific cryptocurrency, HYPE, against a series of escalating price thresholds at a defined moment. The outcome depends on whether the price meets or exceeds any of these thresholds during the specified time window, reflecting potential market movements and investor sentiment.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the price of HYPE exceeds a series of incrementally higher thresholds as of 5 PM EDT on October 16, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct outcome, with the market resolving to 'Yes' for the first threshold met or exceeded. The official price is determined by calculating the simple average of sixty Real Time Index (RTI) price readings collected by CF Benchmarks in the final minute before 5 PM EDT. This methodology ensures precision by using a standardized, aggregated measure rather than relying on individual exchange or third-party data points. All thresholds are evaluated sequentially, and the market resolves according to the lowest threshold that is met, with higher thresholds acting as contingencies should lower ones not be achieved.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the HYPE price market tracks the current price, 24-hour volume of $1,688, and historical price movements. It provides a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes for HYPE on October 16, 2026. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded to date, currently at $5,084, giving insight into the overall interest in this market. This information is updated in real-time, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a forward-looking assessment of the HYPE price, potentially incorporating information not yet fully reflected in spot prices or traditional analyst forecasts. This market allows traders to express their beliefs about future price movements, which can differ from current market consensus. If analysts generally expect a certain price level, this market will reveal whether traders agree or anticipate a different outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of available data or unique insights held by market participants.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the HYPE price on the specified date. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution of potential outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the eventual outcome. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of those actively trading in this market, offering a real-time estimate of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the HYPE price at 5pm EDT on October 16, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for HYPE pricing data, ensuring an objective determination of the final price. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market and how closely their predictions aligned with the actual outcome. The platform will handle the payout process automatically.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding HYPE’s development, adoption rate, or regulatory status could cause substantial price swings. Broader trends in the cryptocurrency market, such as shifts in investor sentiment or changes in macroeconomic conditions, will also play a role. Unexpected technological advancements or security breaches related to HYPE could also move the market. News related to competing cryptocurrencies or significant changes in the overall financial landscape could all influence trading activity and price discovery in this market.