TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:18h:18m
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This set of markets tracks the price of the cryptocurrency HYPE at a specific future moment, using a precise measurement methodology to determine outcomes. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various potential price levels. The resolution depends on a standardized average price calculation at a defined time.
All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026, determines outcomes. Each individual market has a unique price threshold (e.g., $66 or above, $67 or above, etc.), ranging incrementally from $66 up to $115. If the calculated average exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The secondary rule for all markets clarifies that CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) is the official data source, with the final value being the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. This structure ensures consistent methodology across all markets while allowing participants to evaluate different price milestones.
Currently, the odds reflected in this market represent a forward-looking assessment of the HYPE price on the specified date. These expectations are formed by the collective judgment of traders, which can differ from current spot prices or analyst predictions. If analysts broadly expect a significant price increase, we might see the price in this market rise accordingly. Conversely, if sentiment is bearish, the price would likely decrease. It’s important to remember that prediction markets synthesize diverse information and beliefs, potentially offering a unique perspective compared to traditional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the HYPE price on November 6, 2026. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people want to buy (believing the price will go up), the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, offering a constantly updated assessment of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the HYPE price at 5pm EST on November 6, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing data. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding the HYPE cryptocurrency, such as partnerships, technological advancements, or regulatory changes, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin's performance and overall investor sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected economic events or shifts in global financial markets could influence demand for cryptocurrencies like HYPE, thereby affecting the price in this market. Any significant developments related to the HYPE project between now and Nov 6, 2026 have the potential to move the market.