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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
polymarket

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Volume:
$27,723

25M+

 - Polymarket

25M+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 4:55 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25M+

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

15M+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20M+

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

10M+

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30M+

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix top movie views market tracks the current odds and price history for how many views the top movie on Netflix will attract this week. It also displays the latest 24-hour volume of $11,738 to show how much trading activity is happening around predictions for viewership numbers.

Currently, prediction market odds imply a very high probability that the top movie on Netflix will surpass certain viewership thresholds this week. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which have been more cautious due to expected competition from new releases and seasonal viewing patterns. Traders on Polymarket are pricing in stronger audience demand than many professional forecasts suggest, potentially reflecting real-time sentiment not yet captured by traditional analysis.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final numbers will be based on official Netflix statistics or reputable media sources that report the weekly view counts for the platform’s top movie, ending the speculation phase for participants.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 11, 2026. Major marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or surprise releases could boost viewership expectations and push odds toward higher outcomes. Conversely, technical issues on the platform, competing entertainment events, or weaker-than-anticipated audience reception may cause traders to adjust their positions, especially as real-time streaming data becomes available in the final days.