TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 17?
polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 17?

Volume:
$67,444

25-49

 - Polymarket

25-49 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 3:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25-49

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<25

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-74

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

75-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 17, 2026, through August 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 17, 2026, through August 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Strait of Hormuz shipping market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the number of ships expected to transit the strait during the week of August 17. It also displays current trading volume of $67,444 and 24-hour volume of $7,711, allowing users to monitor market sentiment and liquidity for this specific event.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during the specified week determines the result, based on authoritative maritime data sources and news coverage.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. These include regional geopolitical developments, changes in oil tanker routing decisions, unexpected Strait of Hormuz disruptions, or broader economic impacts on shipping demand. Any news affecting regional stability or commercial shipping patterns may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess transit probabilities.