TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 6:18 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around determining whether a specific number of U.S. House Representatives will vote in favor of censuring Representative Chuck Edwards based on an ethics report. The outcome hinges on the tally of 'Yea' votes in a formal resolution before a set deadline. Various thresholds define different market resolutions, reflecting varying levels of support required for the censure.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the number of U.S. House Representatives voting 'Yea' on a resolution censuring Representative Chuck Edwards, based on conduct detailed in an ethics report released on August 3, 2026, with all votes considered occurring before January 4, 2027. Only the first final full-House vote on adoption is counted; procedural votes, motions to table or reconsider, 'Present' votes, absences, and the later public-reading ceremony are excluded. The vote must take place in the full chamber, not in committee, though participation need not include every member. If no vote occurs by the deadline, markets excluding 'zero' resolve to 'No,' while those including 'zero' resolve to 'Yes.' If the resolution passes but the exact vote count is unspecified, markets including '435' resolve to 'Yes,' and those not including '435' resolve to 'No.' After market expiration, any subsequent requests to alter votes by Members of Congress are disregarded for resolution purposes, regardless of official tally updates.
This market resolves around Jan 4, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of House votes to censure Chuck Edwards will be the decisive factor, determined by official congressional records after the vote occurs.
Several key signals could shift expectations in this market before Jan 4, 2027. Major developments such as party leadership statements, emerging poll data, or significant floor debates may cause rapid price changes. Any surprise announcements from committee reviews or high-profile endorsements might also influence trader sentiment. As the vote approaches, real-time news coverage and floor activity will be closely watched, often leading to sharp movements in odds as new information emerges.