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$134.2b

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2,388,728,490

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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How many Codex resets week of September 21?
polymarket

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

Volume:
$9,687

2

 - Polymarket

2 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 2:02 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
7.7¢
N/A
$3,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4+

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
7.3¢
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Codex resets market tracks the current odds of various outcomes regarding the number of weekly usage limit resets for Codex during the week of September 21. You can view the implied probability of each outcome, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $516. The total volume for this market is $9,687. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Codex usage.

Currently, assessing how prediction market odds compare to analyst forecasts requires looking at external sources. For this market, the question is whether there will be a specific number of Codex resets during the defined week. Comparing this to any publicly available forecasts from experts on Codex usage patterns or similar metrics would reveal whether the market is leaning towards a more optimistic or pessimistic outlook than those following the situation closely. It's important to note that prediction markets often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from individual analyst predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of Codex weekly usage limit resets during the week of September 21 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding Codex usage, and the outcome corresponding to the correct number of resets will be declared. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of this market.

Several signals could influence this market before its resolution. Any official announcements from the Codex team regarding changes to usage limits or planned resets would be a significant catalyst. Unexpected surges in Codex usage, potentially driven by new applications or increased user adoption, could also lead to more frequent resets. Conversely, a decline in usage might suggest fewer resets are likely. Monitoring news and social media related to Codex, as well as tracking on-chain data related to its usage, will be key to anticipating potential market movements.