TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.3b
24H VOL:
$172,964,198
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,798,566,680
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,800,387,182
518,213
Markets across
38,398
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,848
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 08d:07h:17m
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These markets track whether the price of ZEC will exceed specific thresholds at any point in October 2026. Each outcome represents a different price level that, if reached, triggers a resolution. The evaluation considers minute-by-minute price data, applying statistical methods to mitigate the influence of extreme fluctuations.
All markets resolve to Yes if, at any minute between issuance and 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026, the trimmed mean price of ZEC exceeds the specified threshold. The trimmed mean is calculated by removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute price data and averaging the remaining values. This approach reduces the impact of transient spikes or drops. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The measurement period begins at issuance and ends at the specified time, with the exchange specifying the exact ZEC version or ticker being tracked.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many spot price expectations for Zcash. While traditional financial analysts often rely on technical indicators and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions on the likely price movement. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aren't necessarily about predicting *whether* an event will happen, but *how likely* traders believe it is. This can lead to discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and those found in conventional financial forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy and sell contracts representing different price levels for Zcash in October. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price gets to the actual Zcash price in October, the more valuable the corresponding contracts become. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and efficient expression of market sentiment regarding the future price of Zcash.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average Zcash price during October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on data from established cryptocurrency exchanges, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the final price. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual average price of Zcash during the specified month. The market’s outcome is determined by the publicly available price data, not by any subjective assessment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or significant adoption by institutional investors, could impact Zcash’s price. News regarding Zcash’s technology, including upgrades or security vulnerabilities, would also likely influence trading activity. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, like inflation rates or shifts in monetary policy, could indirectly affect the price of Zcash and, consequently, this market. Unexpected events in the crypto space could also cause volatility.