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"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
polymarket

How much will "Hope" gross opening weekend?

Volume:
$205,292

<6m

 - Polymarket

<6m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 7:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<6m

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

7-8m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6-7m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10m+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8-9m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9-10m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the opening weekend box office of the movie “Hope” will be less than $6 million, with 99.3% probability currently assigned to that outcome on Polymarket. The second most probable outcome, that the opening weekend box office will be between $9 million and $10 million, has a 0.4% probability. Resolution will be based on the finalized 3-day opening weekend domestic box office figures reported on The Numbers, specifically under the “Weekend Box Office Performance” tab, and will consider data through September 13, 2026, which marks the end of the opening weekend window for box office reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the "Hope" box office market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different opening weekend box office results. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $5 and the total volume is $205,292. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to monitor shifts in expectations as new information becomes available. This is a great place to start if you're interested in following how the prediction market views the film's potential success.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Currently, the market is heavily weighted towards the outcome of "Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?", indicating a strong consensus among traders. The price fluctuates based on new information and trading activity, offering a dynamic assessment of the film's potential performance.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final opening weekend box office numbers for "Hope" will be used to determine whether the outcome falls below 6m. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from box office tracking services. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified results. Keep an eye on Polymarket as the resolution date approaches for updates and final confirmation.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Positive or negative reviews from prominent film critics could influence expectations. Strong early ticket sales or pre-release buzz on social media platforms could also drive trading activity. Unexpected marketing campaigns or changes in release dates could also play a role. Any news impacting the overall box office landscape, such as a major competitor releasing a similar film, could also affect the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.