TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:20 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Predict. These odds often differ from initial analyst forecasts, as the market incorporates new information and adjusts expectations based on real-time betting activity. While some analysts initially favored one team, this market may show a different probability distribution based on the money flowing in from informed traders. It’s common to see the market ‘correct’ early predictions as more data becomes available and traders refine their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the odds closely reflect the current expectations of those actively trading in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the best-of-five series between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player health or form for either Talent Gaming or TOP Esports Armor would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major strategic announcements from either team, or any in-game developments during the series itself, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any changes in public perception or analyst opinions, even if not directly tied to concrete events, could impact the flow of capital into this market and alter the probabilities reflected in the current prices.