TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Kuaishou Gaming and Douyu Gaming in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kuaishou Gaming" if Kuaishou Gaming win the match against Douyu Gaming. This market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming" if Douyu Gaming win the match against Kuaishou Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Kuaishou Gaming and Douyu Gaming in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kuaishou Gaming" if Kuaishou Gaming win the match against Douyu Gaming. This market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming" if Douyu Gaming win the match against Kuaishou Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds on Predict with external analyst forecasts for this match. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or individual analyst predictions. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders actively assessing the potential outcomes of the Kuaishou Gaming versus Douyu Gaming series. It's worth noting that prediction markets have frequently demonstrated a higher degree of accuracy than polls in forecasting real-world events.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Kuaishou Gaming will win, the higher the price of contracts predicting their victory will rise, and vice versa for Douyu Gaming. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage match between Kuaishou Gaming and Douyu Gaming. The winning team, as determined by the best-of-five series, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Kuaishou Gaming or Douyu Gaming could significantly impact the market. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment, even without concrete news, can drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.