TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:30 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and LGD NBW in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against LGD NBW. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and LGD NBW in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against LGD NBW. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this event. While many analysts provide predictions for esports matches, their forecasts are often qualitative or expressed as probabilities that aren’t directly comparable to the implied probabilities reflected in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, and biases. It’s important to remember that this market represents the collective wisdom of traders actively betting on the outcome, offering a unique perspective compared to pre-event analysis.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of the match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is determined entirely by user activity and isn’t influenced by any external factors or pre-determined probabilities. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the odds will dynamically adjust to reflect the latest insights.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the BO5 match between AG Super Play and LGD NBW in the King Pro League Grand Finals. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for winning contracts on Predict following the conclusion of the event.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either AG Super Play or LGD NBW could influence trading activity. In-game performance during the early stages of the King Pro League Grand Finals, even in matches leading up to this specific BO5, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team conditions or external factors impacting the competition are other potential catalysts that could lead to price fluctuations in this market.