TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Toronto on October 16?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 16?

Oct 14, 2026, 8:56 AM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$7,435
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$36,013
0.33%
Open interest:
$6,551N/A

16°C or higher

 - Polymarket

16°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Time left: 01d:07h:27m

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 16?

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 77¢ buys you 130 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $130 | Net Profit: $30 Multiplier: 1.30x | ROI: 30% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

16°C or higher

Trade
76%
Yes 77¢No 25¢
2¢
$2,770
$5,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

15°C

16%
Yes 17¢No 86¢
3¢
$2,750
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

14°C

7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$2,823
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

13°C

2%
Yes 2.9¢No 98¢
0.9¢
$2,671
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

10°C

1%
Yes 2¢No 99.9¢
1.9¢
$3,229
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

11°C

1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.9¢
1.6¢
$3,023
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

12°C

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.7¢
0.6¢
$3,049
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

8°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$3,983
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

9°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$3,581
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

6°C or below

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$3,682
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

7°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$4,452
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.