TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

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35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 16?
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polymarket

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 16?

Oct 14, 2026, 8:56 AM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$5,414
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$28,582
0.37%
Open interest:
$4,008N/A

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Time left: 01d:07h:27m

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 16?

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

Trade
40%
Yes 41¢No 62¢
3¢
$2,657
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

27°C

27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$2,752
$1,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

25°C

19%
Yes 20¢No 82¢
2¢
$2,200
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

28°C

9%
Yes 11¢No 94¢
5¢
$2,454
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

24°C

6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$2,066
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

23°C

2%
Yes 2.8¢No 98¢
0.8¢
$2,488
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

21°C or below

1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.8¢
1.1¢
$2,075
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

22°C

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.7¢
0.6¢
$2,329
$271
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$2,979
$462
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

31°C or higher

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$3,513
$511
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$3,069
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 7h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.