TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 15?
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polymarket

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 15?

Oct 13, 2026, 8:56 AM EST - Oct 15, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$19,302
Volume 24h:
$13,098N/A
Liquidity:
$24,865
4%
Open interest:
$13,430N/A

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Time left: 07h:27m:25s

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

Trade
41%
26%
Yes 42¢No 60.9¢
2.9¢
$993
$3,170
60%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

27°C

36%
6%
Yes 37¢No 66¢
3¢
$9,033
$1,955
107%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

26°C

16%
3%
Yes 17¢No 85¢
2¢
$872
$965
89%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

25°C

6%
5%
Yes 6.9¢No 95¢
1.9¢
$553
$631
42%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

24°C

4%
6%
Yes 4.5¢No 97¢
1.5¢
$672
$917
46%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

29°C

3%
1%
Yes 3.8¢No 98.2¢
2¢
$3,122
$4,300
395%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

22°C

1%
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.8¢
1.1¢
$1,844
$870
153%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

30°C or higher

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢
0.5¢
$1,707
$1,380
677%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

23°C

0%
6%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$2,166
$925
287%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

20°C or below

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$1,353
$2,842
28,317%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$2,549
$1,348
512%
N/A
N/A
7h 27m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.