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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?

Volume:
$61,748

21°C

 - Polymarket

21°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

21°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Sao Paulo's peak temperature on June 12, often incorporating real-time weather data and seasonal patterns. Analyst forecasts from meteorological agencies typically rely on climate models and historical averages. Market odds tend to adjust faster than traditional forecasts as new weather systems develop or atmospheric conditions shift. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official weather predictions suggest for that specific date.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from recognized meteorological sources monitoring Sao Paulo on that date. The outcome is determined by which temperature threshold bracket the actual recorded high falls into, as defined by the market's outcome categories. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the final temperature is confirmed and the market settles.

Temperature expectations for Sao Paulo on June 12 can shift based on updated weather forecasts, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric systems approaching Brazil. Cold fronts or high-pressure systems moving into the region would lower predicted highs, while heat waves or tropical air masses would raise them. Long-range model updates from meteorological agencies typically influence trader positioning. Broader climate anomalies, ocean temperature patterns, and historical June weather trends in Sao Paulo also drive market repricing as traders incorporate new information and refine their temperature predictions.