TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$106,228

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,378
N/A
N/A
$11,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,313
N/A
N/A
$14,352
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,228
N/A
N/A
$15,028
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,709
N/A
N/A
$8,583
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,921
N/A
N/A
$6,755
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,680
N/A
N/A
$5,476
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether San Francisco will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate variations and recording accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 78°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending the period until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, and the 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data.