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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 10, 2026?

Volume:
$54,170

79° or above

 - Kalshi

79° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,986
N/A
N/A
$17,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,291
N/A
N/A
$6,213
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,548
N/A
N/A
$6,265
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,399
N/A
N/A
$6,968
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,861
N/A
N/A
$3,415
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
$978
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

On June 10, 2026, the maximum temperature will be recorded in San Francisco according to the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report. Participants are predicting what temperature range the city will experience on that specific date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time aggregated trader beliefs about San Francisco's June 10 high temperature, often incorporating meteorological data faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, prediction markets add financial incentives for accuracy. Comparing market-implied probabilities to seasonal climate normals and National Weather Service extended forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in unusual atmospheric conditions or expecting typical early-summer weather for the Bay Area.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded maximum temperature for San Francisco on June 10, 2026. The outcome depends on which temperature range bracket the actual high falls into. Once the day concludes and the National Weather Service or equivalent official source publishes the final high temperature, the corresponding contract resolves to 100 cents and all others to zero, settling all open positions.

Key drivers include updated extended-range weather forecasts, shifts in Pacific high-pressure systems, and anomalies in sea-surface temperatures affecting coastal California. Major weather pattern changes—such as an early heat dome, marine layer persistence, or upper-level troughs—can significantly alter trader expectations. Real-time atmospheric data releases, seasonal climate outlooks, and any unusual solar or oceanic oscillations will influence market pricing. As June 10 approaches, daily forecast updates become increasingly precise and can trigger sharp repricing of temperature outcome probabilities.