TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$94,939

76° to 77°

 - Kalshi

76° to 77° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,880
N/A
N/A
$10,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° or below

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,306
N/A
N/A
$16,093
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,626
N/A
N/A
$11,037
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,034
N/A
N/A
$12,760
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,898
N/A
N/A
$5,505
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,196
N/A
N/A
$3,578
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and long-term weather forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in five-degree increments from 71°F or below up to 80°F or above—the actual high temperature falls into. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS data available at the specified URL after the date passes, as preliminary readings from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences in measurement methods. All markets share identical verification procedures and data sources, ensuring consistent resolution across all temperature categories.