TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and long-term weather forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined in five-degree increments from 71°F or below up to 80°F or above—the actual high temperature falls into. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS data available at the specified URL after the date passes, as preliminary readings from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences in measurement methods. All markets share identical verification procedures and data sources, ensuring consistent resolution across all temperature categories.