TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 29, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 29, 2026?

Volume:
$28,286

88° to 89°

 - Kalshi

88° to 89° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° to 89°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,932
N/A
N/A
$4,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,162
N/A
N/A
$4,987
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,344
N/A
N/A
$4,129
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,450
N/A
N/A
$2,715
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,705
N/A
N/A
$2,861
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$1,714
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether San Antonio's maximum temperature will reach 90-91° Fahrenheit on May 29, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 44.0%, with a 92-93° high at 25.0%. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report for that date. Watch the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report released on May 30, 2026, which will provide the definitive maximum temperature reading for May 29.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 29, 2026? dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and pricing for this weather event. It displays the current probability implied by trader positions, 24-hour volume activity, and historical price movements as the market approaches resolution on May 30, 2026. The dashboard aggregates all active contracts tied to this specific temperature outcome, allowing you to monitor how market sentiment shifts as May 29 approaches. Total group volume across all related contracts stands at $28,286.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature outcome for San Antonio on May 29 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader bids and asks. Prices move continuously as new information arrives—updated forecasts, seasonal patterns, or historical May 29 temperature records all influence the market. Kalshi's order book shows the spread between buyers and sellers, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As the event date approaches, prices typically converge toward the realized outcome, and trading volume may spike as traders finalize positions.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026, after May 29 concludes and official temperature data is recorded. Resolution hinges on the highest temperature reading reported for San Antonio on that specific date. The exact data source and measurement methodology are defined in the contract terms at market creation. Once the official high is confirmed, the contract settles automatically, and traders' positions are finalized based on whether the actual temperature fell within their predicted range or outcome.

Several factors can shift odds before May 29 arrives. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models will influence trader expectations as the date approaches. Major atmospheric patterns—such as high-pressure systems, tropical moisture, or cold fronts—can dramatically alter the probability of extreme heat. Historical May 29 temperature records and recent San Antonio climate trends provide anchors for pricing. Additionally, any significant weather event or climate anomaly in the weeks leading up to May 29 may prompt traders to reassess their positions, causing price movements on Kalshi.