TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$31,702

93° to 94°

 - Kalshi

93° to 94° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

93° to 94°

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,649
N/A
N/A
$6,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,197
N/A
N/A
$8,027
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,728
N/A
N/A
$4,153
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
$1,936
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,477
N/A
N/A
$951
Settled
No
kalshi

99° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
$518
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Philadelphia on a specific summer day in 2026, using official government data. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various heat levels based on historical trends and climate projections.

Kalshi

The event determines outcomes based on the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport on August 09, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the recorded high falls within that range. The temperature categories progress from 90°F or below, through incremental 1-degree bands (91-92°F, 93-94°F, etc.), up to 99°F or above. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that the NWS report is the sole authoritative source, with traders advised to regard preliminary data cautiously due to potential rounding or conversion nuances in early reporting stages. The structure creates mutually exclusive outcomes where exactly one market will resolve to Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls relative to these defined thresholds.