TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Philadelphia on a specific summer day in 2026, using official government data. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various heat levels based on historical trends and climate projections.
The event determines outcomes based on the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport on August 09, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the recorded high falls within that range. The temperature categories progress from 90°F or below, through incremental 1-degree bands (91-92°F, 93-94°F, etc.), up to 99°F or above. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that the NWS report is the sole authoritative source, with traders advised to regard preliminary data cautiously due to potential rounding or conversion nuances in early reporting stages. The structure creates mutually exclusive outcomes where exactly one market will resolve to Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls relative to these defined thresholds.