TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 17?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 17?

Volume:
$25,211

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Panama City temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the highest temperature expected in Panama City on June 17. Traders buy and sell shares that represent different temperature ranges or outcomes, and the dashboard displays current market pricing, 24-hour volume activity, and order-book depth. This live data reflects the collective forecast of market participants as they continuously update their positions based on weather models, historical patterns, and incoming meteorological data.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional weather forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and financial incentives alongside meteorological models. While professional meteorologists publish point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric science, this market aggregates the beliefs of many participants who stand to gain or lose based on accuracy. Comparing the implied temperature range from current odds to published forecasts from national weather services can reveal where the crowd expects conditions to differ from official predictions, though both sources draw from similar underlying data.

On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, where each outcome's price reflects the probability assigned by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share represents the crowd's estimated likelihood of that temperature outcome occurring. As new weather information emerges or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit positions continuously until the market closes.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once June 17 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Panama City can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources, such as official meteorological stations or established weather databases, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once verification is complete and the market officially closes.

Major weather pattern shifts, tropical storm or hurricane activity in the Caribbean, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies can all drive significant price swings. Real-time atmospheric data releases, changes in ocean temperature, and shifts in trade wind patterns may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, any unusual heat events or cold fronts affecting Central America in the weeks leading up to June 17 could reshape market expectations and trigger volatility in this market.