TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$132,988

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,029
N/A
N/A
$25,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,752
N/A
N/A
$17,166
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,287
N/A
N/A
$23,496
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,410
N/A
N/A
$6,130
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,885
N/A
N/A
$4,369
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,626
N/A
N/A
$4,526
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

New York City may see a warm August 15, 2026, with temperatures possibly climbing into the upper 80s, affected by regional weather systems and seasonal variations.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate temperature ranges are defined: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, and 88°F or above. If the recorded maximum temperature falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All secondary rules emphasize that while various weather sources may provide different data, The Weather Company's report is the official and final determinant for resolution.