TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official National Weather Service data for that day, making it a straightforward test of actual weather conditions against predefined temperature thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 91°F or below, 92-93°F, 94-95°F, 96-97°F, 98-99°F, or 100°F and above. The official NWS data is the sole source for determining the outcome, and traders must use the latest version of the report for the date. It is important to note that while other weather services may provide estimates, only the NWS report is binding. Preliminary data from NWS may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early reports. The URL provided in the secondary rules directs traders to the correct NWS page for verifying the official temperature data.