TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$18,026

94° to 95°

 - Kalshi

94° to 95° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

94° to 95°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,978
N/A
N/A
$3,660
Settled
Yes
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,026
N/A
N/A
$3,274
Settled
No
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,798
N/A
N/A
$2,043
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,644
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
No
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
$252
Settled
No
kalshi

100° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
$288
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official National Weather Service data for that day, making it a straightforward test of actual weather conditions against predefined temperature thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 91°F or below, 92-93°F, 94-95°F, 96-97°F, 98-99°F, or 100°F and above. The official NWS data is the sole source for determining the outcome, and traders must use the latest version of the report for the date. It is important to note that while other weather services may provide estimates, only the NWS report is binding. Preliminary data from NWS may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised when interpreting early reports. The URL provided in the secondary rules directs traders to the correct NWS page for verifying the official temperature data.