TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New Orleans on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$23,481

93° to 94°

 - Kalshi

93° to 94° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

93° to 94°

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,957
N/A
N/A
$5,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,077
N/A
N/A
$4,951
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,800
N/A
N/A
$4,082
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,373
N/A
N/A
$1,763
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
$1,285
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in New Orleans on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans on August 12, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 88°F or below, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, 93-94°F, 95-96°F, or above 96°F. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab and selecting "New Orleans, LA" with the Daily Climate Report. Traders must use the latest published report for the date, recognizing that update frequencies may vary by location. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, only the NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution. Caution is advised regarding potential rounding differences or conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, as these could affect market outcomes.