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Highest temperature in Milan on June 8?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Milan on June 8?

Volume:
$37,357

29°C

 - Polymarket

29°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

29°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders on Polymarket, while meteorological forecasts from weather services like ECMWF or national weather institutes provide physics-based models. Market odds typically incorporate longer-term climate patterns and seasonal norms, whereas analyst forecasts update dynamically as the event date nears with refined atmospheric data. Both sources offer complementary views: markets aggregate trader conviction, while analysts provide technical weather reasoning for Milan's June 8 temperature outlook.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Milan on June 8 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell, with each share representing a specific temperature range or threshold. The current market price reflects the aggregate belief of traders about which outcome will occur. As new information emerges—seasonal forecasts, historical climate data, or real-time weather patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down to reflect shifting probabilities through June 8.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the highest temperature in Milan on June 8, 2026 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from a designated weather source or meteorological authority for Milan on that specific date. Resolution occurs once the final daily high temperature is confirmed and matched against the predefined outcome categories in the market contract.

Key signals include updated seasonal weather forecasts from major meteorological centers, historical temperature patterns for Milan in early June, and real-time atmospheric conditions as the date approaches. Major weather systems—heat waves, cold fronts, or unusual pressure patterns over southern Europe—can shift trader expectations significantly. Climate anomalies, volcanic activity affecting solar radiation, or unexpected jet-stream behavior may also influence market prices. Traders monitor long-range models and short-range forecasts to adjust positions ahead of June 8.