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Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?

Volume:
$43,153

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and differ from traditional weather forecasts issued by meteorological agencies. While meteorologists use physics-based models and historical data, this market prices outcomes based on collective trader conviction and real-money incentives. Comparing the current odds to official forecasts from Mexico's National Weather Service can reveal where traders see upside or downside risk. Markets often incorporate late-breaking data and local knowledge faster than traditional models, making them a complementary signal rather than a replacement for expert analysis.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Mexico City for June 25 becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual peak temperature reading on that date, confirmed through official meteorological records. Traders holding shares in the correct temperature band receive their payout once the event occurs and the result is finalized on the platform.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Updated seasonal forecasts or climate anomalies—such as heat waves or unusual atmospheric patterns—often trigger sharp repricing. Major weather events in neighboring regions can signal broader conditions affecting Mexico City. Real-time meteorological data releases, changes in atmospheric pressure systems, and even historical temperature comparisons for similar dates influence trader positioning. As June 25 approaches, intraday forecasts become more precise, typically narrowing the range of plausible outcomes and concentrating trading volume around the most likely temperature bands.