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Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 2?

Volume:
$26,411

38°C or below

 - Polymarket

38°C or below - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

38°C or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

47°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

48°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

44°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

46°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 2 is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. Each temperature bracket or threshold has its own contract, and the price of a share reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders update their forecasts based on weather models, seasonal patterns, and real-time atmospheric conditions, share prices adjust accordingly. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and trader confidence in that particular outcome.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the highest temperature in Lucknow on June 2 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official meteorological data from recognized weather stations or authorities that measure peak daily temperature in Lucknow. Resolution typically occurs within hours or a day after the event date, once final readings are confirmed and published. Traders should verify the exact data source and measurement methodology specified in the market's terms before the event occurs.

Several factors can shift odds for Lucknow's peak temperature on June 2. Seasonal weather patterns and monsoon timing significantly influence June temperatures in northern India. Updated meteorological forecasts, especially from the Indian Meteorological Department, will move prices as the event date approaches. Broader climate anomalies, ocean temperature patterns, and atmospheric pressure systems can alter expectations. Real-time weather updates in the days leading up to June 2 will likely trigger sharp repricing. Historical temperature records and recent heat waves in the region also inform trader positioning and market sentiment.