TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$4,299

83° to 84°

 - Kalshi

83° to 84° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Louisville on October 15, 2026. Outcomes depend on the maximum temperature recorded that day, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event determines outcomes based on the maximum temperature recorded in Louisville on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 81°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, or above 88°F. The official temperature value comes exclusively from The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.