TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 5, 2026?

Volume:
$320,304

81° or above

 - Kalshi

81° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or above

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153,204
N/A
N/A
$62,589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,023
N/A
N/A
$49,064
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,760
N/A
N/A
$36,394
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,170
N/A
N/A
$13,387
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,519
N/A
N/A
$3,465
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,628
N/A
N/A
$2,628
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the maximum temperature expected in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions. Participants assess likelihood based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in initial reports. If final data remains unavailable by the Expiration Date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt markets from potential adjustments due to data errors.