TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$320,825

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84,118
N/A
N/A
$39,323
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or above

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142,438
N/A
N/A
$75,388
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,192
N/A
N/A
$31,405
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,343
N/A
N/A
$23,709
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,878
N/A
N/A
$5,837
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,857
N/A
N/A
$1,857
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Los Angeles on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recording for that day, with specific ranges determining different results.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the temperature falls within any of these ranges—from 70° or below up to 79° or above—the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are evaluated against the same official data source, with provisions for handling preliminary data, rounding discrepancies, and potential errors in initial publications. In cases of material errors or unavailable data, the exchange retains discretion to extend the evaluation period or resolve markets based on the last fair price. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not override these resolution protocols.