TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges determining resolution. Participants assess weather forecasts and historical trends to predict the likelihood of extreme heat.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 27, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The official data source is critical, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding, conversion, or timing nuances. Traders must use the latest version of the NWS Daily Climate Report for Las Vegas, accessible via the provided URL, to confirm the exact maximum temperature for the date. The rules emphasize caution with interim data, ensuring final resolution relies solely on the authoritative NWS report.