TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$42,020

113° to 114°

 - Kalshi

113° to 114° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

113° to 114°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,224
N/A
N/A
$6,869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,199
N/A
N/A
$9,453
Settled
No
kalshi

115° to 116°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,575
N/A
N/A
$5,910
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,029
N/A
N/A
$4,877
Settled
No
kalshi

109° to 110°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,741
N/A
N/A
$3,455
Settled
No
kalshi

117° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,252
N/A
N/A
$3,009
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Las Vegas on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature ranges based on historical climate patterns and forecasts to determine outcomes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on July 25, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 109°F, 109–110°F, 111–112°F, 113–114°F, 115–116°F, or above 116°F. The official data must be accessed via the NWS Climate page for Las Vegas, using the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. Traders should rely only on this source, as other weather services may differ. Preliminary NWS data can contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so final resolution will depend on the latest official report published after the date. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes depending on where the actual temperature falls within the defined ranges.