TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3?
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polymarket

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3?

Nov 1, 2026, 1:56 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$23,117
Volume 24h:
$17,476N/A
Liquidity:
$50,861
10%
Open interest:
$12,192N/A

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 11h:39m:11s

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?

44%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 44% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

Trade
44%
1%
Yes 47¢No 59¢
6¢
$505
$5,203
545%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

29°C

31%
4%
Yes 36¢No 74¢
10¢
$644
$4,820
213%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

27°C

23%
1%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$559
$5,766
357%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

30°C

4%
1%
Yes 5.1¢No 96.9¢
2¢
$1,706
$2,011
277%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

31°C

1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.5¢
1¢
$1,277
$1,705
1,310%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

32°C or higher

1%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$1,215
$386
140%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

26°C

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,858
$1,803
194%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$7,735
$563
137%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

24°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,183
$530
172%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

22°C or below

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$8,279
$165
0%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
polymarket

23°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,899
$165
0%
N/A
N/A
11h 39m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.