TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Austin will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official weather data from a trusted government source, ensuring consistency and reliability for participants.
The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 6, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded high falls within that range. The official data source is critical, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding or conversion methods. Participants must rely solely on the final NWS report to avoid discrepancies. The structure allows traders to assess the likelihood of various heat levels for that specific date.