TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded by the National Weather Service.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 11, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the exclusive authority. Traders must recognize that preliminary data may undergo revisions, and only the final official report determines the resolution. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process are acknowledged, emphasizing the need for caution when interpreting early or unofficial data.