TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$75,352

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,942
N/A
N/A
$13,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,037
N/A
N/A
$10,702
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,530
N/A
N/A
$13,700
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,400
N/A
N/A
$6,231
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,229
N/A
N/A
$5,585
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,214
N/A
N/A
$1,527
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded by the National Weather Service.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 11, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the exclusive authority. Traders must recognize that preliminary data may undergo revisions, and only the final official report determines the resolution. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process are acknowledged, emphasizing the need for caution when interpreting early or unofficial data.